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DataEvery live figure on one page MethodEvery rule, source and correction

Markets · What the markets show now

BoardEvery open Kalshi temperature bracket, read hourly GamesKalshi game markets: the price and the numbers, hourly Whale finderPolymarket weather wallets, ranked from their fills, weekly

Record · What held up once it settled

ScorecardThe settled record, week by week CalibrationDoes a 20c bracket pay one time in five? CitiesEach city's record: ruled out, the leader, calibration, when the day is decided DaysThe daily box score: every settled day, city by city CallsDated calls with a probability, graded on their date ReceiptsThe calls, the settled weeks and the retired desk The deskEvery desk's lights, from the event log, live

Research · What we found when we looked hard

StudiesFive questions, called before they were measured PiecesLong reads, decoded from the fills and the tape SymbolsGematria, graded on 22,990 games

Terms Privacy X Owner sign-in

The data · every live figure, one page

Every number, one page.

Each live figure the desk measures, when it was read, and the page that explains it.

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Right now

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Hypothetical results · the same-day favourite tileThese results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

Ladders by city

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Each city's settled record: ruled out, the leading bracket, the price's score, when the day is decided

Ruled out by the station's reading at the last pass

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All time: — of — settled Yes · Kalshi settles on its own source

The record

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Hypothetical results · the favourite rule's rows in the recordThese results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

Kalshi game markets

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The games page · its record

Polymarket: the whale finder's latest run

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Hypothetical results · the copier tileThese results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

Wallet addresses are public on the Polygon chain, and the name beside one is the pseudonym Polymarket shows for it. Nothing here is a recommendation to follow any wallet.

Full table and method on the whale finder

Calls and studies

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Grading calendar

    Every call, in full · The studies

    Where these numbers come from
    Each section, the public view it reads, and how often that view changes
    SectionRead fromRefreshed
    Right nowscorecard_site_stats, site_totals, calibration_scores, games_public, heartbeatshourly
    Ladders, ruled outboard_public: each bracket's latest read in the last six hourshourly, about fifteen minutes after the robot's pass, which reads every ladder at about :35
    The recordsite_totals, scorecard_weeks, calibration_scoreshourly
    Kalshi game marketsgames_public, counted by the databasehourly
    Polymarketpoly_wallets: the newest published run onlyweekly
    Calls and studiescalls.js, the site's list of dated callswhen a call is posted or graded

    The board's times are UTC and the games' times are ET. A ladder's date is its city's own date, so the page opens on the earliest date the robot is still reading, not on today's date in UTC; a date the robot has stopped reading is marked closed until it settles.

    Derived figures only: no bids, asks, exact sizes or per-bracket history are published, and nothing here is offered as a download.